Why does Trump appeal so much to young men?

Tight polling margins have to be seen in the wider context of major shifts in the electorate.

Nate Silver — the man almost everyone who has ever read a political poll will have heard of (for better or for worse) — recently went on a British podcast and said the odds on the election are essentially 50/50. It’s so close, in fact, that there is little point betting, because, once the book makers take their cut, the risk-reward is not worth it. Yet, despite these tiny margins, there are so major trends that are defining the election.

In the upcoming few months, clever people will pretend to be geniuses and identify X, Y, Z reason why the other candidate lost; “Harris didn’t campaign enough in [insert state]… Trump’s VP pick didn’t work…social media… the TV ads…Taylor Swift…the assassination attempt… etc. etc.”

The polls during the recent elections haven’t be totally accurate, missing certain voter blocks, so what’s missing this time?

One area where this may be happening is in the underestimation of Donald Trump’s appeal among young men. Historically, young voters have skewed Democratic, but there are emerging signs that Trump is gaining traction with two distinct groups: working-class young men of color and wealthier young white men. It…