Some really interesting points there. I don’t have the data, but anecdotally, she was hated by the GOP since the early 90s, but I think you’re right, they only managed to extrapolate that across the country during her run for Pres.

One of the things that we have to be really careful of is to avoid thinking the 2016 ‘Haters’ are the same as the 2020 ‘Haters. They may be similar, but not the same. I suspect (again, got no data atm), that seeing as Trump won the 2016 ‘Haters’ by a 17% point margin, his share of that electorate will have just grown, whereas the 2020 ‘Haters’ are unknowns, so to that end, it is hard to anticipate whether they will flip to Trump or not. What we do know, is that Biden is *WAY* ahead with them at this moment. As the article points out, we’re talking 40/50/60 points ahead.

Writing on US politics from across the pond. Occasional comments in the build up to the 2020 election week. Views rarely my own. Especially the funny ones.

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