Forget the Democrat candidate, Trump is on course to lose 2020 whatever happens.

Trump’s overarching electoral strategy was doomed to fail from the start. Democrats, sit back and enjoy.

Underneath national consistency belies a rapidly falling Trump base. He has no where else to turn.

Energise the base. That was the message that Karl Rove orchestrated through George Bush’s campaign in 2000 and 2004. He knew that with the natural support the GOP had, he could use Bush’s first term popularity and carve out some neat messaging, get some good luck on the day, and re-election Bush to a second term.

The crux of that campaign strategy — energising the base — appears to have been essential to Trump’s election and subsequent attempt to get re-elected next year. A Republican president would of course be foolish to pin hopes on flipping the big Blue Wall (i.e. Cali, NY, Illinois), especially in deeply partisan times. But Trump seems to feed on that partisan agenda and he will relish a re-election campaign shaped around it. Quite ironic indeed for someone who has supported both parties in his life.

If the President maintains this course of action, and let’s face it, there has been absolutely zero sign he is willing, or politically capable, of change, then…