Once upon a time, people thought the only person who could beat Trump, was Joe Biden. After two years in office, there is a similar feeling that anyone not called Donald Trump could, in return, beat Joe Biden. …

Biden is often accused of being incoherent. Perhaps a fair comment given some of his gaffes. But a broader incoherence underlies his political career since he announced his intention to run for president way back in April 2019. The oldest white guy won the most diverse primary of all time…

The last few months have looked brighter for Democrats, but no one trusts polls anymore, right? — Last week I wrote about the close Senate races Democrats have a reasonable chance of winning. I concluded these are Georgia (Warnock vs. Walker), Wisconsin (Johnson vs. Barnes), Nevada (Cortez Masto vs. Laxalt), Ohio (Vance vs. Ryan), Pennsylvania (Oz vs. Fetterman), Arizona (Kelly vs. Masters). Although a recent episode of…

Throughout the summer, the chances of the Democrats retaining — or perhaps even increasing — their majority in the Senate have improved. FiveThirtyEight estimates there’s nearly a 70% chance of this happening; up from 50% in late July. This will likely be decided in a handful of places. Georgia (Warnock…

To paraphrase Marco Rubio, “he knows exactly what he’s doing” — For years, a huge question I’ve grappled with has been: does Trump and his allies know what they are doing? Are they, in crass terms, lying to their audience because they know it is what they want to hear? Shrewd political operators doing everything they can to entertain voters. Or…

Probably the most powerful nation ever seen, the US is special. It boasts military, economic, and cultural reach that is unmatched. That does not, however, mean it has been unchallenged. Since the Second World War, when the US unequivocally led a global civil society, a series of threats to US…

A recent Axios article confirms what most people already knew. …

The confirmation is more important than the announcement — There is plenty of speculation about how Biden’s replacement for Justice Breyer will be received in her Senate hearing. Last month, the president formally nominated Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson, fulfilling a responsibility endowed to his predecessor three times and the president who he served under, twice. I don’t want to…

Do you remember the guy who “won the pandemic”? Yeah, he’s running. That is not a new statement and much has already been written about the possibility of firstly, Trump running, secondly, someone challenging Trump, and finally, how on earth that would go down. Can DeSantis and his team really…